With a Biden victory a definite possibility, it makes sense for Israel and the Sunni Arab Leaders to move quickly within the small “pre-election window” with the goal of passing milestones which establish conditions on the ground such that the legitimacy of follow-up activity carried out in what could be the “lame-duck” period up to the January inauguration is not tainted.
Why the rush?
It isn’t just that a Biden administration may rush to embrace Iran in a photo op deal.
The Sunni Arab leaders could very well find themselves under attack on two fronts:
- For failing to squeeze out sufficient concessions from Israel (concessions which, if required, would make the entire process a non-starter).
- A selective application of various norms to question the very legitimacy of the leaders.
The UAE and Bahrain set such an example.
Who will follow?