WHERE ARE THE VOICES OF CONSCIENCE FOR IRAN?

Where is everyone? Where did all the people who demonstrated against Israel’s brutality in Operation Cast Lead, in the Second Lebanon War, in Operation Defensive Shield, or even in The Hague, when we were dragged there unwillingly after daring to build a separation barrier between us and the suicide bombers, disappear to? We see demonstrations here and there, but these are mainly Iranian exiles. Europe, in principle, is peaceful and calm. So is the United States. Here and there a few dozens, here and there a few hundreds. Have they evaporated because it is Tehran and not here?

All the peace-loving and justice-loving Europeans, British professors in search of freedom and equality, the friends filling the newspapers, magazines and various academic journals with various demands for boycotting Israel, defaming Zionism and blaming us and it for all the ills and woes of the world-could it be that they have taken a long summer vacation? Now of all times, when the Basij hooligans have begun to slaughter innocent civilians in the city squares of Tehran? Aren’t they connected to the Internet? Don’t they have YouTube? Has a terrible virus struck down their computer? Have their justice glands been removed in a complicated surgical procedure (to be re-implanted successfully for the next confrontation in Gaza)? How can it be that when a Jew kills a Muslim, the entire world boils, and when extremist Islam slaughters its citizens, whose sole sin is the aspiration to freedom, the world is silent?

Imagine that this were not happening now in Tehran, but rather here. Let’s say in Nablus. Spontaneous demonstrations of Palestinians turning into an ongoing bloodbath. Border Policemen armed with knives, on motorcycles, butchering demonstrators. A young woman downed by a sniper in midday, dying before the cameras. Actually, why imagine? We can just recall what happened with the child Mohammed a-Dura. How the affair (which was very harsh, admittedly) swept the world from one end to another. The fact that a later independent investigative report raised tough questions as to the identity of the weapon from which a-Dura was shot, did not make a difference to anyone. The Zionists were to blame, and that was that.

And where are the world’s leaders? Where is the wondrous rhetorical ability of Barack Obama? Where has his sublime vocabulary gone? Where is the desire, that is supposed to be built into all American presidents, to defend and act on behalf of freedom seekers around the globe? What is this stammering?

A source who is connected to the Iranian and security situation, said yesterday that if Obama had shown on the Iranian matter a quarter of the determination with which he assaulted the settlements in the territories, everything would have looked different. “The demonstrators in Iran are desperate for help,” said the man, who served in very senior positions for many years, “they need to know that they have backing, that there is an entire world that supports them, but instead they see indifference. And this is happening at such a critical stage of this battle for the soul of Iran and the freedom of the Iranian people. It’s sad.”

Or the European Union, for example. The organization that speaks of justice and peace all year round. Why should its leaders not declare clearly that the world wants to see a democratic and free Iran, and support it unreservedly? Could it be that the tongue of too many Europeans is still connected to dark places? The pathetic excuse that such support would give Khamenei and Ahmadinejad an excuse to call the demonstrators “Western agents,” does not hold water. They call them “Western agents” in any case, so what difference does it make?

To think that just six months ago, when Europe was flooded with demonstrations against Israel, leftists and Islamists raised pictures of Nasrallah, the protégé of the ayatollah regime. The fact that this was a benighted regime did not trouble them. This is madness, but it is sinking in and influencing the weary West. If there is a truly free world here, let it appear immediately! And impose sanctions, for example, on those who slaughter the members of their own people. Just as it imposed them on North Korea, or on the military regime in Burma.

It is only a question of will, not of ability.

Apparently, something happens to the global adherence to justice and equality, when it comes to Iran. The oppression is overt and known. The Internet era broadcasts everything live, and it is all for the better. Hooligans acting on behalf of the regime shoot and stab masses of demonstrators, who cry out for freedom.

Is anything more needed? Apparently it is. Because it is to no avail. The West remains indifferent. Obama is polite. Why shouldn’t he be, after all, he aspires to a dialogue with the ayatollahs. And that is very fine and good, the problem is that at this stage there is no dialogue, but there is death and murder on the streets. At this stage, one must forget the rules of etiquette for a moment. The voices being heard from Obama elicit concern that we are actually dealing with a new version of Chamberlain. Being conciliatory is a positive trait, particularly when it follows the clumsy bellicosity of George Bush, but when conciliation becomes blindness, we have a problem.

The courageous voice of Angela Merkel, who issued yesterday a firm statement of support for the Iranian people and its right to freedom, is in the meantime a lone voice in the Western wilderness. It is only a shame that she has not announced an economic boycott, in light of the fact that this is the European country that is most invested in building infrastructure in Iran. She was joined by British Foreign Secretary Miliband. It is little, it is late, it is not enough. Millions of freedom seekers have taken to the streets in Iran, and the West is straddling the fence, one leg here, the other leg there. There is a different Islam. This is already clear today. Even in Iran. There are millions of Muslims who support freedom, human rights, equality for women. These millions loathe Khamenei, Chavez and Nasrallah too. But part of the global left wing prefers the ayatollah regime over them. The main thing is for them to raise flags against
Israel and America.

The question is why the democrats, the liberals, and Obama, Blair and Sarkozy, are continuing to sit on the fence. This is not a fence of separation, it is a fence of shame.

[TRANSLATION COURTESY OF ISRAEL NEWS TODAY]

SHIP OF FOOLS: WHY THE SITUATION IN IRAN HAS CHANGED IRREVOCABLY

There is something hypnotic about the 15th century painting by Hieronymus Bosch, The Ship of Fools.

The painting being very small, I used to use a magnifying glass to identify all of the secrets packed into it by the artist. The Ship of Fools hangs in the Louvre Museum in Paris, and contains hints of gluttony, pride, defying God, complete disregard for reality if not utter contempt for it. As far as the fools on board the ship are concerned, only they themselves exist, they and the objects of their lust. Below in the deep river lurk the troubles, just a moment before they strike at the ship and sink it. It is clear that the people on board the ship, all of whom are strange to the extent that they border on the insane, have no idea what lies in store for them and their whimsical desires. They’ll find out soon enough.

The regime in Iran today is analogous to the ship of fools, in my opinion. The troubles afflicting it have already begun to break through the surface. Why do I believe this to be the case?

President Ahmadinejad, the head of the governmental establishment, has spoken too much. When we sting someone, the enjoyment we feel is cursory. Later we will the price for that, perhaps even years later. And Ahmadinejad spoke too much: against the Holocaust, Israel will disappear, against the reformists, against the United States, against Bush, against Europe, against Iran’s Persian past, against the Arabs, against homosexuals, against the economy, against Communism, against the Chinese-against nearly everyone. Everyone else is stupid, no one else understands, everyone else is wicked, only he is the true shining light of the world.

As long as the Revolution maintained a resounding silence, as was the case when Khomeini reigned, for example, it was respected out of fear. Today Ahmadinejad has exposed all of the flaws and weaknesses of the Revolution, which has babbled itself to death. It has lost the fear of the masses and the world. It appears now in the figure of a small, foolish man who is incapable of keeping his mouth shut at any opportunity. The man who believes that a halo began to appear around his head after his speech at the UN (that is what he told his confidants, and they admitted as much).

That is the rule: the more that is said, the more likely you are to suffer from verbal contretemps, insulting others, and general mistakes. The Iranian king of fools has gotten Iran and its regime into trouble-perhaps forever. Now is the time for payback.

Trouble Ahead, Trouble Behind

The Iranian shah fell because his secret police killed hundreds of demonstrators. Every killed demonstrator encouraged the following day’s riots and the demonstrations. Khamenei and Ahmadinejad forgot that lesson, and they have authorized killing 32 liberal demonstrators thus far. The road taken by the Islamic revolution upward, climbing over the bodies of the people who were killed in the demonstrations, is going to be the same road as its slips downward. That which went up might come down in the very same way.

The Revolution in Iran seized territory and control of the state, but it completely ignored the technology of the Information Age. It rose to power thanks to the television, which controlled the world at the end of the 1970s, but it never became familiar with the internet. At most, it censored it-Google, Facebook, the text messages sent over cellular telephones. But it is the new technology that is bringing it down. The websites run by the opposition, the blogs, Facebook, YouTube, Flickr, Twitter. There is nothing like the thousands of young Iranians who are logged online for hours on end. Iran has one of the most hooked-up populations in the world, with tens of thousands of active bloggers.

The Revolution was confident that this was a virtual phenomenon, that those people didn’t truly exist, and that perhaps it was better that they blow off steam by means of the internet. The Islamic Revolution was wrong, and it is those websites that now are directing millions of people. They are enlisting, directing, collecting funds and won’t let things continue to be the way they were.

That is why I was surprised to see that the director of the Israeli Mossad had failed to understand that everything had changed in Iran and would never go back to being the way it used to be.

Is he like Knesset Speaker Reuven Rivlin who admitted that he doesn’t know how to send an email? Doesn’t he understand that it was technology that propelled the Islamic Revolution into power and that it’s technology that is likely to bring the very same Islamic Revolution down?

How did the regime in Iran dare to dismiss with such disdain, with the merest flick of the hand, with flaunting arrogance, the real results of the presidential elections? How did it dare? That was its hubris, the sin of pride. Ever since the downfall of Saddam Hussein, who balanced out and neutralized Iran, some people in Tehran came to feel as if they were the lords of the world. They’d gotten rid of Bush, they were in the process of taking over Iraq, Lebanon, the Palestinians, and they would get Saudi Arabia in the future as well. They were the future, and they were its emissaries in the present. The sense of lordship in the Persian Gulf, in the world, the intoxication with the sense of power, led them to believe that they were the masters of the world and could do as they pleased.

Ahmadinejad, aware of the great scam, quickly announced that his victory was a “divine victory.” This immediately reminded us of another “divine victory,” one much closer to home. Now we too have skipped a heartbeat. How could we have been duped into believing Nasrallah’s vapid bragging? How was the Israeli public foolish enough to be taken in by Nasrallah’s lies?

What do we learn from all this?

That the whole Islamic Revolution was merely a scam? Devotion to God merely in order to seize control of the reins of power? In order to gain control over the masses? If the elections were from God, and the elections were a scam-what does that say about Khomeini’s revolution in its entirety? You understand. That is precisely why Hieronymus Bosch drew in the center of his painting a monk and a nun sitting together enjoying the pleasures of the flesh, irrespective of true religion and its spiritual aspects. They are at the center of the ship of fools.

The official Iranian media has barely mentioned the millions of people who have thronged to demonstrate in Tehran and other cities across the country. In dictatorships, whatever does not appear in the state media doesn’t actually exist. So were there demonstrations or weren’t there? If there were, who is the truth and who is the fiction here? The demonstrations that never existed or the Iranian media, which is more akin to science fiction? And we believed the photographs of the missiles, the centrifuges, the visits by Ahmadinejad in God knows what locations and all of the other lies. I already showed you in one of my previous articles on this website that you would do well were you not to believe a single word that comes out of Iran. It is a country run by Photoshop.

The Iranian aspiration to achieve nuclear weapons can’t be stopped, that’s a fact, said Ahmadinejad, invoking his usual superciliousness and unflappable self-confidence, which naturally conceals a profound fear. But as I wrote on this website previously, the attainment of nuclear weapons is a Sisyphean effort for the Iranians in which every effort that is made will only push off the achievement of their goal. It is clear today to the regime that the Iranian public will never accept complete isolation, such as the isolation that was imposed on North Korea. The fact of the matter is that millions of people poured out into the street to demonstrate over far less.

If that is the case, then perhaps real sanctions might stand a real chance of success, primarily in motivating the millions of people necessary to put an end to the isolation. It is interesting to note: when Arab states suffer from isolation and sanctions, the masses blame the West. In Iran the people aren’t ashamed to blame their own regime for the catastrophe. They aren’t afraid of self-criticism, which is a very good thing, of course.

The coercion, the disdain for everyone who is not a member of the regime, the arrogance, the sense of endless power, the mass conference titled “The world without Zionism” and the cartoons against the Holocaust-all of that led to an enormous amount of hubris, to the sense that they were the lords of the land. It was then that I realized: there is no difference between the Shah’s final days in power and the twilight of the Islamic regime in Iran, whose time is over. Back then the Shah and his confidants languished on an island and delighted themselves on the pleasures of life that were imported directly from Paris and Berlin. Today the senior regime officials, mainly from the Revolutionary Guards, sit back and delight themselves on the pleasures of life that are imported directly from Paris and Berlin.

The Shah funneled billions of petrol dollars out of the country; they funnel billions of petrol dollars out of the country. The Shah completely ignored his public and regarded it as a cow to be milked; the top regime figures today do the same, going so far as to steal the public’s voice-the ballots it cast in the elections. The Shah felt all-powerful, with tremendous military might (the sixth strongest army in the world!); today, too, the army generals say that there won’t be a revolution, we’re too strong. That is what the shah’s generals said as well.

The Iranian public sees and is appalled. It grit its teeth until it finally went into the streets-then and now as well.

They are so enamored with their imaginary might that they say with the flick of a finger: Israel will disappear, Hizbullah will be victorious, Hamas will control, the United States will collapse, Europe is sinking, the Islamic economy will defeat capitalism, we and we and we. Ahmadinejad is deserving of the same status as that of the president of the United States. Bragging, arrogance and intoxication so strong that he believes his regime has been given an angelic halo. Look at the person holding a knife at the helm: he is challenging the Master of the world in the heavens. By so doing, he is saying: I am the master of the world.

And for that haughtiness, that arrogance towards history and the world-those are all things that one ultimately has to pay for. [CREDIT TO ISRAEL NEWS TODAY FOR THE TRANSLATION]

What is the Basis of the Legal Status of Israel and the Settlements?

Moshe Negbi, a well-known legal commentator for the Ma’ariv daily as
well as for Kol Yisrael radio, was interviewed here last week. One of
the subjects discussed was the legality or lack thereof of the Jewish
settlements in Judea, Samaria and Gaza.

The Arab claim concerning the illegality of the Jewish settlements in
Judea, Samaria and Gaza could not have found a more eloquent spokesman
than Moshe Negbi. He very fervently – stressing most firmly that he
does not allow political considerations to influence his opinions, but
rather speaks as a “jurist and nothing else” – tried to convince us
that the settlements represent a violation of the laws of war and that
they therefore are an international crime. He also claimed that all,
or almost all, experts in international law universally accept the
view that the settlements are illegal.

While I have no pretensions to even a fraction of the knowledge and
understanding of law that Negbi possesses, I do believe that I have
acquired certain reading comprehension skills. I have read the
relevant material in the public international legal literature and my
conclusions concerning the position of international law on the
legality of the settlements – based on the opinions of world-class
experts in international law – are diametrically opposed to those of
Negbi.

1920 – The Historic Bond Becomes a Legal Right

In 1920, after World War I had ended, the Allied Supreme Council that
assembled at San Remo, Italy, decided, in accordance with the Balfour
Declaration of November 2, 1917, to assign the mandate for the
establishment of a national home for the Jewish people in Palestine to
Great Britain. This turned the right of the Jewish people over Eretz
Israel into a right recognized by international law.

The historic bond that the Jewish people had with Eretz Israel
consequently became a right legally recognized by the 52 members of
the League of Nations. The United States joined the League at a later
time, not having been a member of the international organization at
the time. — and held a separate forum with identical final documents
in 1925, establishing a homeland for the Jews in Palestine. ~Shosh¨

The significance of the recognition of the right of the Jewish people
to Eretz Israel by international law was in its acknowledgment of the
justice of the Jewish and Zionist claim to the land that had been
stolen from the Jewish people by foreign occupiers and their right to
have it restored to them. The recognition also voided the legal
validity of the occupation of Eretz Israel by foreigners as well as
the expulsion of Jews from it.

The Mandate over Palestine, which anchors the rights of the Jewish
people to their country in international law, states that “No
Palestine territory shall be ceded or leased to, or in any way placed
under the control of, the Government of any foreign Power,” and that
“The Administration of Palestine… shall facilitate Jewish
immigration under suitable conditions and shall encourage… close
settlement by Jews on the land, including State lands and waste lands
not required for public purposes.

The British government did not fulfill the aim of the Mandate where
immigration and settlement were concerned (the decrees of the White
Paper) in gross violation of its obligations under the Mandate.
Additionally, it abused its role as the guardian of Eretz Israel for
the purpose of the establishment of a national home for the Jewish
people. In September 1922, just months after the confirmation in
writing of the Mandate, Britain decided to separate the eastern bank
of the Jordan from the western part and transfer control of the
eastern side to the Arabs (Transjordan).

Subsequently, only western Eretz Israel – from the Mediterranean to
the Jordan – the “West Bank” – remained, in the eyes of international
law, as the area designated for the establishment of a national home
for the Jewish people. It was this separation on which the peace
treaty with Jordan was based, whereby Jordan kept the land on the
eastern bank of the Jordan River and became the ‘palestinian
homeland’. This separation specifically reserved the West Bank for
Eretz Yisrael even as it gave the Eastern bank, which should ALSO have
been part of Israel, away.

This legal status of this area – in the view of international law –
has not changed to this day. Even the United Nations partition plan of
1947 was rejected by the Arab world, and on May 15, 1948, the day the
British Mandate over Palestine ended, the Arabs attacked the newly
born state with the express goal of annihilating it. It should be
stressed that the partition plan was in fact no more than a
recommendation, and had no power to bind the sides, and this too was,
as stated, rejected by the entire Arab world and therefore became null
and void in the eyes of international law. Judea and Samaria are part
of the Jewish homeland

Did the Jewish People Lose its Rights to Those Areas of Eretz Israel
Lost in the War of Independence, 1948?

The answer to this question is no. Egypt did not establish sovereignty
over the Gaza Strip and the sovereignty of Jordan over Judea and
Samaria was recognized by only two countries, Britain and Pakistan. In
fact, Jordan never held legal sovereignty over the areas of Judea and
Samaria, and has relinquished any claims to sovereignty there. The
status and rights of Jordan over the parts of Eretz Israel it occupied
for 19 years were at most the rights of an occupying force.

In consideration of the fact that Israel succeeded in restoring this
territory in a war of defense that had been forced upon it, while
Egypt and Jordan took the same territories by means of illegal
aggression in the War of Independence, Israel’s rights over the areas
of Judea and Samaria take priority over the rights of the hostile Arab
countries. These areas, therefore – from the point of view of
international law – never ceased to be part of the western Eretz
Israel designated in its entirety for the establishment of a national
home for the Jewish people, including of course, the right of Jews to
settle in their land as established in the British Mandate.

Did the End of the British Mandate over Eretz Israel Generate Any
Change in the Rights of the Jewish People Over its Land From the Point
of View of International Law?

The answer to this question is also no. Article 80 of the UN charter
was written to defend the validity of rights determined in the Mandate
even after the mandate system no longer exited. After the areas of
western Eretz Israel were liberated from the Arab occupier in the Six
Day War (1967), returning them to the control of the Jewish people,
all the obligations according to international law remained as they
were. The purpose of these areas, after all, was that they serve as
the basis for the establishment of a national home for the Jewish
people.

It is in fact the duty of the Jewish state, which replaced the British
Mandate, to fulfill these obligations. Israel’s status in these
territories, therefore, is in no way that of an occupying force,
because in accordance with the outlook that has guided the State of
Israel since its establishment, Israel does not annex territory that
before 1948 was part of mandatory Eretz Israel. (i.e. Israel does not
annex it’s own land)

Israel does not consider itself to have the status of an occupying
force because it never considered the Arab countries that invaded
Eretz Israel in May 1948 as having any sovereign rights over the
territory of Eretz Israel they occupied. They were merely military
occupiers. After this territory was restored to the control of the
State of Israel, it became the obligation of the Jewish state – both
from a Jewish Zionist standpoint as well as from the point of view of
international law – to realize the rights of the Jewish people over
the Western part of Eretz Israel in its entirety, including the right
of settlement.

UN Resolution 242 Does Not Require a Return to the 1967 Borders The
media often refers to settlements and the presence of the IDF in the
West Bank and Gaza as “illegal under international law.” This is the
Palestinian viewpoint, which is derived from their citation of UN
Resolution 242, which states “the withdrawal of Israel’s forces from
territories occupied in the recent conflict — 1967¨.” The authors of
this resolution have stated publicly and repeatedly that they omitted
the words “all territories occupied” and FURTHER, they added
phraseology which called for “an accepted settlement” between the
parties because “all States have the right to live within secure and
recognized boundaries.”

It is evident both from the paper reprinted today and UN Resolution
242 that Israel does INDEED have every right to sovereignty and
settlement in the West Bank and/or Gaza.

The Geneva Convention Does Not Void the Mandate

This position, which views the right of Jewish settlement in Judea,
Samaria and Gaza as anchored in the rules of international law, is
supported by a once-highly placed figure in the American
administration, one of the drafters of the celebrated UN Resolution
242, a Deputy Secretary of State and professor of international law,
Eugene Rostow. He wrote,

The primary objective of the Palestine Mandate was different… from
the mandate over Arab countries…. The Allies established the
Palestine Mandate in order to support the national liberation of ‘the
Jewish people’ because of ‘their historic connection to the land.’ The
mandate encouraged the Jews to found a national home in Palestine, and
gave them the right to establish a “National Home” in Palestine and
granted them the right to make close settlements without prejudice to
‘the civil rights and religious rights of the existing non-Jewish
communities in Palestine.’ The term ‘civil rights’ in this sentence is
carefully distinguished from ‘political rights.’

The right of the Jewish people to settle in Palestine has never been
terminated for the West Bank… The only way which the mandate
right of settlement in the West Bank can be brought to an end is
through the annexation of the area by an existing state or by the
creation of a new one.” Rostow stresses that the right that arose by
virtue of the Mandate is perpetual, as long as the territory of the
Mandate is not turned into an independent state or does not become
part of an existing one.

Therefore, from the point of view of international law, the recognized
right of the Jewish people over all areas of western Eretz Israel is
completely valid, including the right to settle throughout the
territory.

Rostow also rejects the claim that the act of settlement violates
article (49)6 of the Fourth Geneva Convention of 1949, which forbids
an occupying power from deporting or transferring parts of its own
civilian population into the territory it occupies. Professor Rostow
writes that the settlers of Judea, Samaria and Gaza were not
transferred to live there as a result of deportation or “transfer.”
“The Jewish settlers in the West Bank are most emphatically
volunteers,” he writes. “They have not been “deported” or
“transferred” to the area by the Government of Israel and their
movement involves none of the atrocious purposes or harmful effects on
the existing population that is the goal of the Geneva Convention to
prevent… deportations for the purpose of extermination, slave labor,
etc.¨.” (This article was written to ENSURE that another Holocaust is
prevented. ~Shosh)

Furthermore, writes Professor Rostow, the Geneva Convention applies
only to acts by one signatory country “carried out in the territory of
another. The West Bank is not the territory of signatory power, but an
unallocated part of the British Mandate. Even if the Geneva Convention
could be interpreted as to prohibit acts of settlement during the
period of occupation, it can in no way bring to an end the rights
granted by the Mandate. It is hard, therefore, to see how even the
most narrow and literal-minded reading of the Convention could make it
apply to the process of Jewish settlement in the territory of the
British Mandate west of the Jordan River.”

And he continues, “But how can the Convention be deemed to apply to
Jews who do have a right to settle in the territories under
international law? – a legal right assured by treaty and specifically
protected by Article 80 of the United Nations Charter, generally known
as the “Palestine Article.” The Jewish right of settlement in the area
is equivalent in every way to the right of the existing population to
live there.”

Regarding the Geneva Convention, it should be pointed out that the
willingness of the Government of Israel to recognize the validity of
the Geneva Convention over the areas of Judea, Samaria and Gaza was
merely and exclusively for humanitarian reasons, and not for any other
purpose. Consequently, Moshe Negbi’s claim that “If Israel can annex
East Jerusalem, then by the same token, Egypt can declare tomorrow
that New York is part of Egypt,” is completely baseless. New York is
part of a sovereign state – the United States of America – meaning
that Egypt cannot declare sovereignty over it. Judea, Samaria and
Gaza, on the other hand, are not part of any country and furthermore,
from the point of view of international law, belong to the Jewish
people.

Accordingly, the State of Israel – the state of the Jewish people – is
entitled to declare sovereignty over the areas which according to
international law belong to it. It certainly has the right to allow
Jews to settle there, pursuant to international law.

A long list of supporters Moshe Negbi’s attempts to undermine the
rights of his own people to their homeland notwithstanding, Douglas
Feith, who served as Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense and Middle
East specialist on the White House National Security Council staff
during the Reagan administration, holds a different view. He writes
“ÝAlthough¨ the Mandate distinguished between Eastern and Western
Palestine… it did not distinguish between the region of Judea and
Samaria and the rest of Western Palestine. No event and no armistice
or other international agreement has terminated the Mandate-recognized
rights of the Jewish people, including settlement rights, in those
portions of the Mandate territory that have yet to come under the
sovereignty of any state. Those rights did not expire upon the demise
of the League of Nations, the creation of the United Nations, or the
UN General Assembly’s adoption of the 1947 UN Special Committee on
Palestine plan for Western Palestine.”

Feith explains that if the Jews do not have recognized legal rights to
their claim to Judea and Samaria as part of their state, then they
lack such rights in any part of Eretz Israel because all the rights
derive from “the historical connection of the Jewish people with
Palestine recognized in the Mandate.”

ÝThis is why so many peace supporters in Israel draw the line at
giving away the Temple Mount. The Mount is our strongest historical
connection to the land of Israel and if we give that away, we give
away the BASIS by which ANY LAND in the region is allocated as a
Jewish State. To give away the Mount gives away the right to a Jewish
State at all and paves the way for a legal overturning of Israel’s
right to existence.Ӭ

He adds that the claim that the Jews do not have a legal claim to
Judea and Samaria could be catastrophic concerning other claims the
Jews have to sovereignty over Israel within its pre-1967 borders.

I have cited here only two experts in international law who hold this
view, but the list of jurists and members of the administration who
support the legality of Jewish settlement in Eretz Israel is very long
and includes such names as Julius Stone, Professor Yehuda Bloom and
others. It could at least be expected that Moshe Negbi, who
undoubtedly is aware of these views, demonstrate some measure of
integrity and acknowledge the existence of the legal positions with
which he is not comfortable and which run counter his own political
views.

In any case, before accusing Israeli governments of being instrumental
in the commission of international crimes, he might do well to
consider this question: Would not the deportation of Jews from their
place of settlement – as the Arabs demand as part of their call for
the dismantling of the “illegal” settlements – in fact be itself an
international crime – as deportation is termed in international law?
Would Mr. Negbi feel comfortable with the fact that the only place in
the world (perhaps outside of Saudi Arabia) where the policy of
“Judenrein” is implemented de jure and de facto is in the only
homeland Jewish people have?

Not only is the right of settlement in the land of Israel an integral
part of the Zionist vision – it is strongly anchored in the precepts
of international law.

Israeli-Arab NGO using American Jewish donations to defame Israel

Founded by recently elected Balad party Arab-Israeli Knesset legislator Hanin Zoabi, I’lam does not hide its agenda: to question the legitimacy of Israel in the court of world opinion.

In the aftermath of the October 2000 riots, Zoabi, a self-described Palestinian with Israeli citizenship, co-founded the NGO I’lam where she later served as director.

Under her guidance, I’lam issued press statements, engaged in lobbying over policy, led tours for foreign correspondents, provided information on Israeli-Arabs to Jewish journalists and ran Arabic language courses in journalism.

Among charges laid against Israel in materials distributed by I’lam are accusations that the Hebrew media contains “Encouragement for killing and destruction…” and that the editors of Ma’ariv “call for the destruction of cities, wiping out villages and killing children.” I’lam makes similar claims regarding Yediot Acharonot stating that the editor in chief of Yehiot Aharonot issued a “call to kill civilians.”

In the same press release I’lam claimed, “The Israeli media should not shape public opinion that is separate from its surrounding environment [the Arab world] and from international public opinion” and demanded that “the Israeli media to avoid the militant, patriotic performance that it adopts.”

I’lam has also made the claim that “…Israeli authorities have been responsible for over 400 violations of journalists’ rights in the Occupied Palestinian Territories, ranging from mere bureaucratic harassment to outright killings”

I’lam views the Hebrew press as a tool of the government.

In one of her first interviews with the Israeli media as an MK, Ms. Zoabi went on the record with the Jerusalem Post as saying that she supported Iran’s quest for nuclear weapons as a counterbalance to Israel. In the interview she also stated that she is not loyal to the state of Israel as currently constituted.

MK Zoabi, in her capacity as director of I’lam helped draft and signed the Haifa Declaration. The Declaration was a proposal, supported by a large cross section of Arab civil society, which called for the negation of Israel’s Jewish identity and for a “comprehensive change in Israeli policy, whereby Israel abandons its destructive role towards the peoples of the region…”

Most recently, Zoabi had kind words to say about the armed rebellion against Israel. As she said to Australian news outlet GreenLeft “We don’t live in the territories, we cannot throw stones and we cannot participate in the legitimate resistance against occupation.”

I’lam is financed by the Washington DC based New Israel Fund, an American Jewish philanthropic foundation, which also sponsors Israeli-Arab NGOs Adalah and Mossawa. All these groups call for the removal of Israel’s Jewish identity and for the return of Arab refugees to the lands inside the 1948 armistice lines.

In addition to receiving funds from the NIF, I’lam is also a grantee of the organization Al-Quds: Capital of Arab Culture, a group spawned by both the Palestinian Authority and the Arab League.

In an press release dated March 4, 2009, I’lam Empowerment Coordinator, Zaher Boulos issued a ”cry of solidarity with the Palestinian people who hold strong to the establishment of a Palestinian state that is independent with Jerusalem as its capital and the return of the refugees to their homes” at the annual conference of the Forum of Journalists, an I’lam affiliate of which he is also coordinator.

At the conference the Forum resolved “Support for the Palestinian people in their struggle for the establishment of an independent Palestinian state with Jerusalem as its capital and the return of refugees.“

Also in March, I’lam issued a press release stating that Israel cannot “liquidate the fact that Jerusalem is the capital of Arab culture and will be the future capital of a Palestinian state, and tomorrow will be the focal point of the Arab and Islamic world and the progressive forces in the world.”

The terminology in I’lam’s media publications rebound with terms such as “massacre” and “ethnic cleansing.”

In a video I’lam produced entitled Lama Zafouk, the charge is made that Israeli security forces engaged in executions of unarmed and cowering Arabs. According to the video “Three soldiers went down, wearing green. They went down to this area. They beat two young men, that were hiding under the olive tree, and killed them in cold blood at a range of two meters.

In her position as director of I’lam, Hanin Zoabi attended events such as Israel Apartheid Week. She also issued calls for Arabs to refuse any form of national service in Israel.

In 2008 the organization held a conference in Ramallah with journalists from the PA which “aimed to develop and facilitate working relationships between Palestinians journalists in Israel and in the West Bank, and to discuss the role of the Palestinian media on both sides of the Green Line” as well as “Exploring strategies for Palestinian media practitioners in addressing Israeli, European, and US-American media.” (http://tinyurl.com/lv8egg and http://tinyurl.com/nvbgpx )

The connection of I’lam to the Palestinian Authority is reflected by its hired personnel.

The current director of I’lam, Sanaa Hammoud came to I’lam after serving as a consultant in the Palestinian Liberation Organization’s Negotiations Affairs Department.

Meanwhile, Wadea Awawdy, who served on the founding I’lam board of directors, when Ilam was founded in 2000, has worked as a correspondent for the official Palestinian Authority publication Al-Ayyam.

Statements of support for Hamas, which is termed the “Palestinian resistance”, and a link to the website of Hamas’ armed wing, the Essedeen Al-Qassam Brigades, given as a legitimate source of information (http://tinyurl.com/mcnrnv ), have been found on a blog belonging to I’lam’s International Relations Coordinator, Nasser Victor Rego.

On May 16, 2007, the day the ceasefire between Israel and Hamas ended, Nasser used his online identity as the blogger Nasrawi to post a comment on in which he gives regards on behalf of the staff of I’lam. “Stay strong – regards from me and all the staff at I’lam.

Nasser also left a comment on another blog in which he said, “Unfortunately for Israel, Hamas is not playing the same game. It could very well play the same game if weakened enough, but it seems a genuinely emancipatory liberation and resistance movementIsrael is targetting civilians in the Strip to deflect and neutralise sentiment and action of a genuine liberation of Palestinians from subjugation.” (http://tinyurl.com/8tdp32 )

Nasser did not respond to email queries regarding his comments.

Meanwhile, I’lam board member Anton Shalhat was prevented from leaving Israel throughout 2006 and 2007 due to a recommendation from the General Security Services that stated that he may “harm the security of the state

“It is the policy of The New Israel Fund to support Israel as a Jewish state and to oppose the “right of return” for Palestinian refugees to claim lands from 1948. However, in an email statement with journalist blogger Harris Phillipson, an NIF spokesperson wrote that “The New Israel Fund does not require ideological conformity from its grantees, and we differ with many of them on key issues”

The Middle East Forum recently commissioned a report on I’lam by the Center for Near East Policy Research which can be found online at

http://israelbehindthenews.com/library/pdfs/InsideIlam-MediaCenterforArabPalestiniansinIsrael.doc

Hamas Resumes Extended-Range Rocket Production

The intelligence community determined that Hamas has
intensified efforts to develop and produce rockets and missiles with a range
of 40 kilometers. They said Hamas production in the Gaza Strip had been
suspended during and after the war in January 2009.
“Within Gaza, Hamas is continuing to increase its strength,
manufacturing longer-range rockets and smuggling rockets of a far superior
quality,” Israel Security Agency director Yuval Diskin said.
In a briefing to the Cabinet on May 31, Diskin was not quoted as
elaborating on Hamas missile achievements. Until the 2009 war, Hamas
produced Katyusha rocket variants with a range of more than 20 kilometers.
In the wake of the Israeli war, officials said, Hamas sought to smuggle
Iranian-origin rockets with a range of up to 70 kilometers. But they said
Hamas smuggling efforts were hampered by Egypt, which shares a border with
the Gaza Strip.
Still, Diskin said, Hamas has been enhancing its 10,000-member military.
He said the Islamic regime has determined the need to counter Israeli attack
helicopters and main battle tanks.
“They are improving their anti-aircraft and anti-tank capabilities, and
expanding tunnels both for defense and offensive purposes,” Diskin said.
Hamas, said to be split between the military and political leadership,
has sought to maintain a ceasefire with Israel to ensure its military
buildup. Officials said the Islamic regime has arrested members of
Palestinian militias that have attacked Israel.
“That’s why the organization is curbing the rocket attacks,” Diskin
said. “There are even examples of operatives who have been arrested for
launching [missiles]. Hamas is responding to [Israeli military] activity
near the fence with mortar shells. But rocket fire that goes beyond that may
harm them, so they are operating within the limits of the border.”

Will “Demilitarized State” Requirement Have Same Fate As Charter Amendment?

Will the “demilitarized state” red line Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu
introduced in his 14 June speech at the Begin-Sadat Center at Bar-Ilan
University suffer the same fate as the Palestinian Charter amendment red
line in his previous administration?

Back on October 23, 1998 when Netanyahu signed the Wye River Memorandum,
his team crowed that they had succeeded to explicitly require the
Palestinians to go through the formal procedures of amending the Palestinian
Charter so that it would no longer call for Israel’s destruction.

Nothing would go forward, they promised, until the Charter was amended.

Less than two months after Wye Netanyahu did something worse than drop the
requirement. Facing increasing pressure from America and in order to avoid
a confrontation with President Clinton, Netanyahu decided to accept the lie
that the December 14, 1998 Clinton-Arafat Gaza photo op hand-wave
constituted amending the Charter.

Here is how Netanyahu’s Office put it in a 2 February 1999 review: “On
December 14, 1998, in the presence of President Clinton, the PNC and other
bodies reaffirmed Chairman Arafat’s letter by a show of hands.The PA
fulfilled its Wye agreement obligation regarding the Palestinian Charter.”

A bald-faced lie since the “show of hands” had nothing to do with the
procedures required to amend the Charter.

To this day the Charter remains unchanged.

“The Palestinian national charter has not been amended until now. It was
said that some articles are no longer effective, but they were not changed.”
Farouk Kaddoumi, the PLO’s “foreign minister,” interviewed in the Jordanian
newspaper
Al-Arab April 22 2004 (as quoted by.Khaled Abu Toameh – The Jerusalem
Post – same day).
Will Netanyahu, under pressure, also cut corners with the “demilitarized
state” red line?

So far there is no indication as to what is actually meant by either
“demilitarized state” nor the mechanisms for monitoring and enforcing
compliance.

Netanyahu talks of a “demilitarized state” while U.S. General Dayton builds
an ever expanding Palestinian army and Egypt lobbies – with the
encouragement of Washington – for the deployments of foreign Arab armies
inside the Gaza Strip.

Netanyahu seems to want international involvement in the mechanisms –
apparently ignoring the painful and all too often learned lesson that the
determination of Arab violations is more a question of the national agendas
and interests of the foreign observers than the reality on the ground.

There are those that argue that Palestinian intransigence can be counted on
to keep all this irrelevant since they will never come close to final status
terms that are acceptable to Israel.

But that could be a very dangerous assumption.

The Arabs could still surprise Israel and seize the opportunity created by
an American president who is clearly determined not to let reality interfere
with his shoving his agenda down Israel’s throat.

And in the absence of more substance in the Netanyahu team’s public
discourse of the “demilitarized state” issue, don’t be surprised if – under
American pressure – all that remains is the appointment of an American
compliance monitoring group/

A monitoring group that will always, of course, report the truth.

That is – unless the truth doesn’t serve American interests.

Jimmy Carter, an unwilling Bilaam

Jun. 17, 2009

Just three weeks before the reading of the Torah portion about Balak, the king of Moab (Numbers 22-24), former US president Jimmy Carter visited Gush Etzion. In that Torah portion we read about the non-Jewish prophet Bilaam, who was asked by King Balak to curse the nation of Israel, as he feared “this people [who have] come out of Egypt… cover the face of the earth, and they dwell across from me…”

Refusing Balak’s offers of honor, Bilaam, who wished not to bless Israel but to curse it, says that he can only say the words that God puts into his mouth, and adds, “Even if Balak would give me his house full of silver and gold, I cannot go beyond the word of the Lord my God,” a comment that Rashi says indicates Bilaam’s mind-set of avarice.

Finally, God allows Bilaam to make the trip. A long and fascinating digression follows about his donkey and an angel in his way, but the bottom line is that, much to Balak’s shock and horror, Bilaam (to his own surprise) blesses the people of Israel, for those are the words that God puts into his mouth.

Carter paid his visit to Gush Etzion 61 years after it fell to the Jordanians, 42 years after its children returned to rebuild, 30 years after the signing of the Camp David accords between Menahem Begin and Anwar Sadat (the highlight of Carter’s career) and two years after the publication of his book Palestine: Peace Not Apartheid, sharply critical of Israel.

But most significantly, his visit came one day after receiving the “Palestine International Award for Excellence and Creativity” from the Palestinian Authority, in an award ceremony at which he declared, according to The Jerusalem Post, “I have been in love with the Palestinian people for many years… I have two great-grandsons that are rapidly learning about the people here and the anguish and suffering and deprivation of human rights that you have experienced ever since 1948.”

Some of the residents of Gush Etzion were nonplussed at the idea of having a visit from Carter. What could be accomplished by hosting a man who has so maligned us?

He was to visit the Neveh Daniel home of Shaul Goldstein, the head of the Gush Etzion Regional Council. My first question was, “Why not Kfar Etzion, where the returning children found scraps of Torah scrolls that had been burned by the marauding Arab armies?” And why not show him the exact area that was settled in the 1920s, then abandoned in the 1930s due to Arab hostility, then dismantled after Arab riots, resettled in the 1940s and finally, again, in 1967?

I wanted Goldstein to show him the bunker into which in 1948 Arabs threw grenades that killed the wounded who were huddled there. Most of the others, men and women, had died fighting; a handful were taken into Jordanian captivity. Only the mothers and children had been evacuated months earlier, to Jerusalem.

Some Gush residents didn’t want Carter to set foot near any of our quiet communities. Local e-mail postings were fiery with demands that Goldstein not meet with someone who has expressed such virulent anti-Israel opinions. Other opinions ranged from “it’s best to ignore him” to “he hasn’t been president for 28 years.” One man wrote, after the visit, “I’ve always said that we should reach out and provide hospitality to VIPs, diplomats and reporters.”

A CASUAL BROWSING of the Carter Center Web site reveals that as recently as 2007 Carter gave an address at Brandeis University in which he demonstrated extreme and total ignorance about the geography, demographics and even traffic patterns of the area, when he said about Judea and Samaria, “…their choice hilltops, vital water resources and productive land have been occupied, confiscated and then colonized by Israeli settlers. Like a spider web, the connecting roads that join more than 200 settlements in the West Bank, often for the exclusive use of Israelis, Palestinians are not permitted to get on those roads… This divides this area into small bantustans, isolated cantonments.”

Anyone who has traveled through Judea and Samaria would be astonished at those words. The roads are replete with both Jewish and Palestinian vehicles, and it is the Jewish communities – settled on barren land – that are isolated. In addition, there is abundant Palestinian land outside of the Jewish communities which is richly cultivated, and kilometers of land that lie fallow.

Realizing that Carter’s visit was a done deal, some Gush residents suggested creative ways to demonstrate. My favorite was that of one woman, who had seen a banner in Jerusalem with a large picture of a Native American and the words, “Let me tell you about land for peace!”

In the end, Carter came, and in addition to local officials, met with victims of Palestinian terror, like Sherri Mandell, whose son Koby, 13, was murdered in a cave near Tekoa, and Ruth Gillis, whose husband Shmuel, a hematologist from Hadassah University Medical Center, was shot dead on the road from Jerusalem to Gush Etzion. Goldstein spoke passionately about the history and roots of Gush Etzion.

At the end of his visit, Carter declared to TV cameras, “I think I’ve done more listening than talking this afternoon… This particular settlement area is not one that I envision ever being abandoned… this is part of the settlements close to the 1967 line that I think will be here forever.” Goldstein said, “He said he saw things here that he never saw before. He was never here before.”

Aye, there’s the rub. He (like many others) was never here before.

When Balak hears Bilaam’s blessings and asks, “What have you done to me? I took you to curse my enemies, and you have blessed them!” Bilaam replies, “Must I not speak that which the Lord put in my mouth?” Balak takes Bilaam to three different locations, each time hoping for a different outcome, but it is always the same. That which God has planned cannot be undone.

Bilaam’s blessings are some of the best known in Jewish liturgy and lore, such as the treasured, “How goodly are your tents, O Jacob, your dwellings, O Israel! Stretching out like brooks, like gardens by a river… like cedars by water…” What an apt description of Gush Etzion.

Missing major questions] Analysis: Netanyahu’s demilitarized state

The huge issues surrounding Netanyahu’s demilitarized state are not how many
and what gizmos the PA “security forces” can have.

The big questions are:

#1. Who decides there is a violation? It sounds like Israel would agree
to a third party making this determination. And there isn’t a third party
around – including the U.S. that won’t ignore Palestinian violations when it
serves their interests. The Egyptians to this day insist that no weapons
are being smuggled form Egypt to Gaza…

#2. What happens when there is a violation? Israel is allowed to invade
at will and has a green light to do whatever it wants inside the sovereign
Palestinian state? Anyone claiming that this is possible is smoking
something – and it isn’t tobacco.

#3. What happens to the sovereign status of the Palestinian state after it
violates this in terms of its legal status?

Oops. At Netanyahu warned again and again in the past the answer is –
nothing. It remains a sovereign state. And if it signs a defense compact
with Syria and Iran. Oops. Right……]

======================================

Analysis: Netanyahu’s demilitarized state
Yaakov Katz, THE JERUSALEM POST Jun. 17, 2009
www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1245184848455&pagename=JPArticle%2FShowFull

Yes to Kalashnikovs but no to mortars. Yes to Russian BTR-70 armored
personnel carriers but no to tanks. Yes to transport helicopters but no to
fighter jets. Yes to night-vision goggles but no to anti-tank missiles.

The idea of a demilitarized state that Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu
spoke about on Sunday is not new vis-à-vis the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
There are also a number of countries that have decided not to maintain a
standing military, such as Andorra, whose defense is the responsibility of
Spain and France, as well as Costa Rica, which abolished its armed forces in
1948 – these could be used as a role model for such a state.

In his monumental speech, Netanyahu laid out some of the characteristics of
the demilitarized Palestinian state he envisions. The state, he said, would
not be allowed to import weapons, make pacts with Israel’s enemies or close
its airspace to Israel.

Some of these characteristics, though, stand in direct contradiction to
precedents such as Andorra. A small, landlocked country in Western Europe,
Andorra may not have a standing military, but it does have a military pact
with Spain and France under which it will receive protection in the event of
a conflict. In his speech, Netanyahu said Israel would not allow the
Palestinian state to enter into military pacts.

Other possible models are Grenada and Barbados, which do not have militaries
but are members of the Regional Security System, an international body
established to provide security for the Eastern Caribbean. It is safe to
assume Netanyahu would not want the Palestinian state to join an
organization made up of Arab countries that would allow Arab military forces
to enter the state if needed.

Rather, the understanding in the defense establishment and IDF is that when
the prime minister speaks about a demilitarized state he is referring to one
without a full-fledged military, but rather one with a police/paramilitary
force, comprised of thousands of soldiers/policemen trained by the United
States and European Union.

The reason the Palestinians will be allowed to have this force is so they
can maintain law and order and at the same time crack down, if necessary, on
Hamas and other terrorist groups in the West Bank.

Currently, there are two forces that are being trained in the West Bank. The
first, called the “blue police,” is being trained by the European Union.
This is a regular police force being built from the ground up, with trainees
learning forensic and criminal investigation techniques.

The second, more dominant, force is the “green police.” Their name, however,
is confusing since the force is made up more of soldiers than of policemen.

This unit also goes by the name “Dayton’s force,” for Lt.-Gen. Keith Dayton,
the US security coordinator to Israel and the Palestinian Authority – and
the man who is overseeing the training of forces in Jordan.

There are already three battalions in the West Bank and another three are
scheduled to deploy there soon. IDF sources recently said Dayton plans to
put total of 10 battalions in the West Bank by the end of the decade.

Israel, government officials said, supported Dayton’s work since it was part
of Netanyahu’s “bottom-up” plan, which calls for Palestinian reforms on the
ground before a diplomatic resolution to the conflict.

Israel is willing to take calculated risks when it comes to Dayton’s force.
The first risk was allowing a battalion to deploy in Jenin and to scale back
IDF operations there. The second risk was to allow a deployment in Hebron,
which is a known hotbed for Hamas and is also home to a small but relatively
radical Jewish settler population.

In the meantime, the force is equipped with light body armor and light
machine guns such as Kalashnikov rifles. As reported Tuesday in The
Jerusalem Post, 50 Russian-made armored personnel carriers are currently in
Jordan waiting to be transferred to the West Bank. They are being held up
since Israel and the PA are arguing over whether they will be allowed to
have heavy machine guns installed on their turrets.

If Palestinian forces continue to prove their effectiveness in the fight
against Hamas – as they have in Hebron, Jenin and recently in Kalkilya –
Israel will come under growing pressure to withdraw from additional West
Bank cities and transfer them to Palestinian control.This could expedite the establishment of Netanyahu’s demilitarized state

U.S. officials skeptical on a demilitarized Palestine

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said for the first time Sunday
that Israel would be prepared to live side by side with a Palestinian state,
but only if world powers guaranteed that it would be “demilitarized.” The
proposal came in a major statement of his views on the Israeli-Palestinian
conflict that attracted attention worldwide.

“We take the security of Israel very seriously, but we need a solution that
works, and this would be very difficult for the Palestinians to swallow,”
said an official, who declined to be identified because of the sensitivity
of the diplomacy. American officials “are a long way away from the point
where we’d be talking about this kind of arrangement.”

He noted that Netanyahu provided no specifics about what would be a complex
task. Netanyahu has said previously that Israel could not agree to the
creation of a Palestinian state that possessed a military, had full control
of its borders or wielded authority over electronic communications.

Despite the criticism, U.S. officials were generally positive about the
speech, suggesting that it represented another step toward the high-level
negotiations they want to see begin soon between Israelis and Palestinians.

They hailed Netanyahu’s acceptance of the idea of a separate Palestinian
state, despite the conditions. U.S. officials were willing to overlook the
fact that Netanyahu did not agree to the Obama administration’s insistence
on a complete halt in the growth of Israeli settlements in Palestinian
territories.

Palestinian officials bristled at Netanyahu’s speech, but U.S. officials
portrayed the speech as simply laying out the Israeli opening position in
what was likely to be a protracted discussion.

“It’s going to be a complicated negotiation,” said Ian Kelly, the State
Department spokesman.

Netanyahu said in his speech that the Palestinians would need to recognize
Israel as a “Jewish state,” a comment that was widely taken to mean there
would be no right of return for Palestinian refugees.

But Kelly said U.S. officials took the view that it meant only that “the
Palestinians need to recognize the right of Israel to exist.”

paul.richter@latimes.com

The Middle Eastern Cold War

A cold war, according to the Merriam-Webster dictionary, is “a conflict over ideological differences carried on by methods short of sustained overt military action and usually without breaking off diplomatic relations.” Note the three elements in this definition: ideological differences, no actual fighting, and not breaking off diplomatic relations.

The classic instance of a cold war, of course, involved the United States and the Soviet Union between 1945 and 1991, a long lasting and global standoff. The “Arab cold war ” of 1958-70, shorter and more localized, offers a second notable instance. In that case, Gamal Abdel Nasser, an Egyptian revolutionary, tried to upend the region while the Saudis led the effort to maintain the status quo. Their conflict culminated in the Yemen War of 1962-70, a vicious conflict that ended only with the death of Abdel Nasser.

A new ideological division now splits the region, what I call the Middle Eastern cold war. Its dynamics help explain an increasingly hostile confrontation between two blocs.

  • The revolutionary bloc and its allies: Iran leads Syria, Qatar, Oman, and two organizations, Hezbollah and Hamas. Turkey serves as a very important auxiliary. Iraq sits in the wings. Paradoxically, several of these countries are themselves distinctly non-revolutionary.

  • The status-quo bloc: Saudi Arabia (again) leads, with Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Tunisia, Algeria, Morocco, and most Arabic-speaking states following, along with Fatah. Israel serves as a semi-auxiliary. Note that Egypt, which once led its own bloc, now co-leads one with Saudi Arabia, reflecting Cairo’s diminished influence over the last half century.

  • Some states, such as Libya, sit on the sidelines.

The present cold war goes back to 1979, when Ayatollah Khomeini seized power in Tehran and harbored grand ambitions to destabilize other states in the region to impose his brand of revolutionary Islam. Those ambitions waned after Khomeini’s death in 1989 but roared back to life with Ahmadinejad’s presidency in 2005 along with the building of weapons of mass destruction, widespread terrorism, engagement in Iraq, and the claim to Bahrain.

The Middle Eastern cold war has many significant manifestations; here are four of them.

(1) In 2006, when Hezbollah fought the Israel Defense Forces, several Arab states publicly condemned Hezbollah for its “unexpected, inappropriate and irresponsible acts.” An Iranian newspaper editorial responded with an “eternal curse on the muftis of the Saudi court and of the pharaoh of Egypt.”

(2) The Moroccan government in March 2009 announced that it had broken off diplomatic relations with Tehran on the grounds of “intolerable interference in the internal affairs of the kingdom,” meaning Iranian efforts to convert Sunnis to the Shiite version of Islam.

(3) The Egyptian government arrested 49 Hezbollah agents in April, accusing them of destabilizing Egypt; Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah then confirmed that the group’s leader worked for him.

(4) Close Turkish-Israeli ties have floundered as Ankara’s increasingly overt Islamist leadership opposes Israeli government policies, deploys hostile language against the Jewish state, invites its enemies to Ankara, transfers Iranian arms to Hezbollah, and uses anti-Zionism to isolate the Turkish military.

By diverting passions away from the seemingly interminable Arab-Israeli conflict, the Middle Eastern cold war may appear to help reduce tensions. That, however, is not the case. However venomous relations between Fatah and Hamas may be, with each killing the other’s operatives, they will in the end always join forces against Israel. Likewise, Washington will not find significant support in Saudi Arabia or any other members of its bloc vis-à-vis Iran. In the end, Muslim states shy from joining with non-Muslims against fellow Muslims.

Looking more broadly, the Middle Eastern cold war internationalizes once-local issues – such as the religious affiliation of Moroccans – imbuing them with Middle-East wide repercussions. Thus does this cold war add new flashpoints and greater volatility to what was already the world’s most unstable region.


Mr. Pipes (www.DanielPipes.org ) is director of the Middle East Forum and Taube distinguished visiting fellow at the Hoover Institution of Stanford University.